by Anndy Lian - Thought Leader, Best Selling Book Author and Intergovernmental Blockchain Advisor

As the European Central Bank (ECB) pushes forward with plans to launch a retail Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) by 2029, pending legislative approval in 2026 and pilot testing from mid-2027, it’s tempting to view this as a neutral evolution of money in a digital age. But beneath the glossy language of “secure payments” and “complementing cash” lies a stark reality. This is not about innovation. It’s about control. And it stands in sharp contrast to the more pragmatic, market-driven approaches emerging elsewhere, most notably in the United Arab Emirates.

Let’s dispense with euphemisms. In my opinion, the ECB’s so-called “digital euro” is not a tool for financial inclusion or technological progress. With a €1.3 billion budget, no use of blockchain, no privacy safeguards, and no mechanism for redemption into physical cash or other assets, it functions less like money and more like a programmable surveillance instrument. Unlike cash, which is anonymous, final, and free from intermediation, the digital euro will be fully traceable, subject to usage conditions such as spending caps or expiry dates, and entirely under the thumb of central authorities. That’s not monetary policy. That’s digital authoritarianism wrapped in technocratic jargon.

The ECB insists the digital euro will “complement” cash, not replace it. But actions speak louder than reassurances. Why pour billions into a parallel currency if cash isn’t the target? Why design a system where every transaction is logged, monitored, and potentially restricted unless the goal is to shift economic behavior through oversight? In a continent already grappling with rising energy costs, inflation, and bureaucratic overreach, the last thing citizens need is a state-mandated payment layer that watches, judges, and possibly penalizes their spending.

Compare this to the UAE, a jurisdiction often dismissed as a “small player” but one that is rapidly becoming a blueprint for 21st-century financial infrastructure. The UAE isn’t pushing a retail CBDC on its citizens. Instead, it operates a layered, purpose-built stack: a wholesale-only Digital Dirham for cross-border interbank settlements, already live with India, China, and Saudi Arabia; regulated deposit tokens issued by banks for trade finance; and a thriving, regulated stablecoin ecosystem for retail and corporate payments. Circle, Paxos, and Tether are all operating under the Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE), offering programmable, exportable, and transparent digital dollars. No coercion. No surveillance by design. Just clear roles, clear rules, and market choice.

This is the critical distinction. The UAE understands that money thrives on trust, but trust is earned through transparency, competition, and user sovereignty, not top-down mandates. Stablecoins, despite their critics, have already demonstrated this at scale. A $307 billion market cap and Tether’s projected $10 billion profit in 2025 are not flukes. They reflect real demand for digital money that is fast, open, and not tethered to government discretion. The U.S., for all its regulatory ambiguity, has largely embraced this reality, allowing innovation to flourish while slowly building guardrails.

Europe, by contrast, is doubling down on control. The digital euro debate is mired in technicalities about wallet limits and transaction expiration, not user experience, not interoperability, not financial resilience. It’s as if the ECB learned nothing from the crypto winters or the global shift toward decentralized finance. Instead of fostering a competitive landscape where stablecoins, commercial bank money, and cash coexist, Europe wants a monolithic, state-run alternative that centralizes power under the guise of “security.”

Make no mistake. CBDCs have a legitimate role, but only in the plumbing of finance. Wholesale CBDCs can streamline interbank settlements, reduce settlement risk, and enhance cross-border liquidity. That’s infrastructure. But injecting a retail CBDC directly into public wallets is a different beast entirely. It turns money into a policy lever, one that can be throttled, redirected, or disabled based on political whims or social engineering goals. Once deployed, such a system will be nearly impossible to roll back.

And for what? The ECB claims the digital euro will “build trust.” But trust in money doesn’t come from central control. It comes from reliability, scarcity, and freedom of use. Cash offers that. Gold offers that. Even well-regulated stablecoins offer that. A digital euro, designed without privacy, without redemption rights, and without decentralization, offers none of it.

The irony is palpable. At a time when citizens worldwide are reevaluating their relationship with institutions, the ECB is engineering a currency that embodies institutional overreach. Meanwhile, jurisdictions like the UAE are building open, modular, and exportable financial rails that empower businesses and individuals alike. One path leads to innovation and sovereignty. The other to surveillance and stagnation.

I’ve spent over a decade observing the evolution of digital assets, from Bitcoin’s cypherpunk roots to the institutionalization of DeFi and the rise of regulated stablecoins. What’s clear is this. The future of money belongs to systems that enhance user agency, not restrict it. Europe’s digital euro, as currently conceived, does the opposite. It’s not a response to market demand. It’s a preemptive strike against financial pluralism.

So, if you’re in Europe and value privacy, autonomy, or simply the right to transact without Big Brother’s ledger tracking your lunch purchase, think twice. The ECB may call it “progress.” But history will likely remember it as the moment Europe chose control over freedom, surveillance over trust, and bureaucracy over innovation.

And I, for one, wouldn’t want to be forced to use it.

Short bio:

Anndy Lian is an all-rounded business strategist in Asia. He has provided advisory across a variety of industries for local, international, and public-listed companies and governments. He is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur, book author, investor, board member, and keynote speaker.